A just OK week last week as we went 8-5 straight up and 7-6 ATS. That brings our year to date record to a still acceptable 62-52 straight up and 63-51 ATS in a strange season the predictor is having as much trouble as anyone keeping up week to week with the NFL’s crazy ups and downs. We remain confident that over time as always this evens out which is why we don’t play games with the numbers or adjust the predictions from week to week. This is also why we do not do confidence picks but play the same units on every game. Gambling is a crapshoot without a system so we stick to ours and it makes us money every year without fail.
Last Weeks Record: 8-5 Straight Up 7-6 ATS (+$30)
Year to Date: 62-52 Straight Up 63-51 ATS (+392.50 Net)
This is our fifth year and our overall record now stands at 701-423 (62.37%) Straight Up / 617-506 (54.94%) ATS Our total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5667.50
Remember we do this for fun, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.
| NFL Week Ten | ||||||||
| Day | Time | Points | Adj | Net Pts | Pick | Spread | ATS Pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday | 8:20 p.m. | Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons |
2.952 3.765 |
-2 | 2.952 1.765 |
ATL -1.187 |
ATL -1 |
ATL |
| Sunday | 1:00 p.m. | Cincinnati Bengals @ Indianapolis Colts |
13.374 5.361 |
-1 | 13.374 4.361 |
IND -9.013 |
IND -7 |
IND |
| Sunday | 1:00 p.m. | New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns |
3.261 11.065 |
-3 | 3.261 8.065 |
NYJ -4.804 |
CLE +3 |
NYJ |
| Sunday | 1:00 p.m. | Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears |
11.348 10.035 |
-2 | 11.348 8.035 |
CHI 6.687 |
CHI +1.5 |
CHI |
| Sunday | 1:00 p.m. | Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins |
5.843 10.430 |
-2 | 5.843 8.430 |
TEN -2.587 |
MIA +1.5 |
TEN |
| Sunday | 1:00 p.m. | Houston Texans@ Jacksonville Jaguars |
11.104 14.191 |
-2 | 11.104 12.191 |
HOU -1.087 |
JAC -1 |
HOU |
| Sunday | 1:00 p.m. | Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills |
12.204 18.030 |
-2 | 12.204 16.030 |
DET -3.826 |
BUF -3 |
DET |
| Sunday | 1:00 p.m. | Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Bucs |
18.043 10.617 |
-2 | 18.043 8.617 |
TAM -9.426 |
TAM -6.5 |
TAM |
| Sunday | 4:05 p.m. | Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos |
7.239 15.578 |
-2 | 7.239 13.578 |
KAN -6.339 |
DEN +1 |
KAN |
| Sunday | 4:15 p.m. | St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers |
11.252 15.452 |
-2 | 11.252 13.452 |
STL -2.20 |
SFO -6 |
STL |
| Sunday | 4:15 p.m. | Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
16.557 3.435 |
-2 | 16.557 1.435 |
NYG 15.122 |
NYG -14 |
NYG |
| Sunday | 4:15 p.m. | Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals |
15.017 15.743 |
-2 | 15.017 13.743 |
ARI -1.274 |
ARI -3 |
SEA |
| Sunday | 8:20 p.m. | NE Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
5.748 2.635 |
-2 | 5.748 0.635 |
PIT -5.684 |
PIT -4.5 |
PIT |
| Monday | 8:30 p.m. | Philadelphia Eagles @Washington Redskins | 5.878 11.296 |
-2 | 5.878 9.296 |
PHI -3.418 |
WAS +3 |
PHI |
How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.
If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.
Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries or other significant factors
Reading Results: Red games are losses. If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result
We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie. (we buy half points when possible)
Archives
NFL Game Predictor 2009 Archive
Overall 2009 Record:
153-87 (63.75%) Straight Up / 132-108 (55.00%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$880.00
4 Year Running Record:
639-370 (63.33%) Straight Up / 554-455. (54.91%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5357.50
NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive
Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) – +$147.50
3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50
Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00
Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up 6-5 ATS
2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit: + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up 135-116 ATS 9-2 over/under
2006 Regular Season: 142-98 Straight Up / 131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record: 7-4 / 4-7 ATS 9-2 Over/Under
2006 Season betting results at 1 unit: + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends
